The southwest monsoon is expected to remain in a subdued phase across large parts of India over the next week, bringing a temporary break from widespread rainfall after weeks of intense showers in several regions.
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), monsoon activity has weakened due to the absence of favourable weather systems, including low-pressure areas that typically drive widespread rain. As a result, many states are likely to experience below-normal rainfall until around July 20, although isolated showers may continue in some places.
The temporary lull is expected to be felt across central, northwestern and parts of eastern India. Rainfall over Uttarakhand has also reduced significantly, providing relief from continuous downpours and lowering the immediate risk of landslides and flash floods. However, weather officials have said rain is likely to return to the hill state from July 16.
The break in monsoon activity is also expected to bring warmer daytime temperatures and humid conditions in several regions. Farmers in rain-fed agricultural areas are keeping a close watch on the weather, as prolonged dry spells during the sowing season can affect crop growth. Experts, however, say the current pause is a normal feature of the southwest monsoon and does not indicate a weak season.
Meteorologists expect fresh weather systems to develop over the Bay of Bengal later this month, which could revive monsoon activity and bring widespread rainfall back to many parts of the country.
While the reduced rainfall may offer temporary relief to flood-hit areas and aid ongoing rescue and restoration work, authorities have advised people not to lower their guard, especially in hilly regions where weather conditions can change quickly.
The IMD continues to monitor the evolving weather pattern and has urged states to stay prepared for the next spell of rain. With nearly half of the monsoon season still remaining, experts believe rainfall is likely to pick up again after the current lull, helping bridge any temporary rainfall deficit.
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